Ante este escenario, economistas consultados por\u00a0TN<\/strong>\u00a0coincidieron en que la suba del d\u00f3lar blue se explica por el\u00a0atraso cambiario frente a la inflaci\u00f3n\u00a0<\/strong>y por el\u00a0exceso de pesos<\/strong>\u00a0que aparecen en diciembre para afrontar los gastos de fin de a\u00f1o como los bonos que anunci\u00f3 el Gobierno, el\u00a0pago del aguinaldo,<\/strong>\u00a0las\u00a0vacaciones<\/strong>\u00a0y las\u00a0compras navide\u00f1as.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cEn el a\u00f1o el d\u00f3lar paralelo est\u00e1 subiendo cerca de 67%, mientras que la inflaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 en 92%. Por eso, en primera instancia, hay un acompa\u00f1amiento de la inflaci\u00f3n. En segundo orden, vemos una mayor cantidad de pesos en manos de los asalariados<\/strong> (aguinaldo, bonos, sueldos) que van a la compra de cobertura en d\u00f3lar\u201d, explic\u00f3 Diego Mart\u00ednez Burzaco<\/strong>, jefe de Estrategia de la financiera INVIU<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Adem\u00e1s, consign\u00f3 Burzaco,se aceler\u00f3 la\u00a0emisi\u00f3n monetaria\u00a0<\/strong>con la versi\u00f3n del\u00a0nuevo d\u00f3lar soja,<\/strong>\u00a0lo que asegura\u00a0m\u00e1s inflaci\u00f3n<\/strong>\u00a0hacia el primer trimestre del 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cLuego de haber permanecido por debajo de los valores de los d\u00f3lares financieros, principalmente por la mayor demanda de pesos por el pago de aguinaldos y vacaciones (que impulsa la venta de d\u00f3lares) esta situaci\u00f3n empieza a revertirse en la medida que los asalariados cuentan con fondos y buscan cobertura\u201d, sostuvoen la misma l\u00edneael director de la consultora EcoGo<\/em>, Sebasti\u00e1n Menescaldi.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Por su parte,\u00a0Camilo Tiscornia<\/strong>, director de CyT aport\u00f3 otro factor que incide en la suba de la divisa informal: \u201cA nivel privado, las personas que tienen dinero en plazo fijo lo trasladan a la cuenta corriente o a la caja de ahorro para afrontar los gastos caracter\u00edsticos del per\u00edodo de Fiestas\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00bfQu\u00e9 puede pasar en el verano?<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cEn la medida en que siga habiendo muchos pesos dando vuelta y la inflaci\u00f3n se mantenga alta, el tipo de cambio va a estar presionado.<\/strong> Sobre todo, considerando que los d\u00f3lares que entraron en 2021 por las exportaciones de trigo y ma\u00edz, <\/strong>no van a ingresar producto de la sequ\u00eda. Esto va a presionar por el lado de la balanza comercial y de la oferta de d\u00f3lares y puede haber un movimiento alcista en el verano\u201d, apunt\u00f3 Mart\u00ednez Burzaco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n En este sentido, Menescaldi alert\u00f3 que \u201chabr\u00e1 que ver qu\u00e9 sucede con la oferta del d\u00f3lar billete, teniendo en cuenta que es factible que se reduzca la oferta por la instrumentaci\u00f3n del\u00a0d\u00f3lar tarjeta<\/strong>\u00a0para turistas\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cYa ven\u00edamos viendo una tendencia ascendente, que corresponde a un d\u00f3lar que se ven\u00eda atrasando. Es decir, se est\u00e1 acomodando y a nuestro entender todav\u00eda\u00a0tiene algo de margen para seguir escalando<\/strong>\u201d, consign\u00f3 en la misma l\u00ednea el economista de\u00a0LCG<\/em>, Mat\u00edas de Luca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n TN.-<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" La divisa informal cerr\u00f3 a $330, la tercera cotizaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s alta del a\u00f1o. Especialistas consultados por TN advirtieron sobre la mayor demanda de pesos por los gastos de diciembre y analizaron c\u00f3mo ser\u00e1 el \u201cverano cambiario\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":28380,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"","format":"standard","video":"","gallery":"","source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"4","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"","hide":""},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_review":[],"enable_review":"0","type":"percentage","name":"","summary":"","brand":"","sku":"","good":[{"good_text":""}],"bad":[{"bad_text":""}],"score_override":"","override_value":"","rating":[{"rating_text":"","rating_number":"10"}],"price":[{"shop":"","price":"","link":"","icon":""}],"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"jnews_post_split":{"enable_post_split":"0","post_split":[{"template":"1","tag":"h2","numbering":"asc","mode":"normal","first":"0","enable_toc":"0","toc_type":"normal"}]},"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[44,5913,60,3227,45],"class_list":["post-28378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","tag-argentina","tag-banco-cenral","tag-dolar","tag-dolar-blue-2","tag-noticias"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28378"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28378"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28378\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28380"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"\"](\"https:\/\/esreviral.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/AnyConv.com__AnyConv.com__MEXUJDIVCVBJJMLJ4M24NGXB7Ipng-1024x573.webp\")
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